Japan faces inflationary pressure from disrupted trade routes and higher oil costs tied to the Middle East conflict. Even so, ...

Chinese state media reports that the Fujian aircraft carrier will likely achieve full operational readiness this year. The ...

Starmer blames the Foreign Office for the Epstein scandal and rejects resignation calls. Starmer out by June 30, 2026 at 36.5 ...

Joanna Stern is the founder of New Things Media and NBC News’ chief technology analyst. She spent 12 years as a senior ...

Anthropic and Amazon finalize a $100 billion AI infrastructure deal. Anthropic's chance of developing the third best AI model ...

Anthropic released Claude Design with Opus 4.7 amid US government pressure. Release by April 16, 2026 at 100% YES.

Vance plans a trip to Pakistan for US-Iran talks, but the market signals a 96.6% chance of no meeting by June 30, 2026. NO at ...

Trump's hardline stance on Iran dims peace deal prospects, with a deal by April 22 at 17.5% YES and by April 30 at 36.5% YES.

Oil prices fell as contradictory signals from Iran ceasefire talks unsettled traders. The Polymarket contract for WTI Crude ...

Trump's mixed signals on Iran negotiations have raised uranium enrichment agreement odds to 33.2% YES. Market signals ...

Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf announced that Iran will not engage in talks under threat and is prepared ...

Iran's Supreme Leader approves talks in Islamabad before ceasefire deadline. Extension by April 21 at 33% YES.